As interest rates hold steady and economic signals continue to shift, our July 2025 Economic Review offers a balanced summary of the key developments from June. Helping you stay informed in a fast-changing environment.
In this edition we cover:
- Bank of England holds rates at 4.25% – But more cuts are expected, with many economists forecasting the next reduction in August.
- Inflation steady at 3.4% – Still well above the Bank’s 2% target, keeping policymakers cautious.
- GDP fell by 0.3% in April – The biggest monthly dip since October 2023, driven by a slowdown in services and the impact of US trade tariffs.
- Retail sales slide – May saw a sharp 2.7% fall in sales volumes, with supermarkets and household goods stores reporting weak trading.
- Welfare U-turn adds fiscal pressure – A government concession on disability benefits could reduce future savings by £3bn, complicating the Autumn Budget.
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You can view previous editions of the Economic Review here.
The BBC is a great source for the latest market news.