July Economic Update: Download the Latest Economic Review

As interest rates hold steady and economic signals continue to shift, our July 2025 Economic Review offers a balanced summary of the key developments from June. Helping you stay informed in a fast-changing environment.

In this edition we cover:

  • Bank of England holds rates at 4.25% – But more cuts are expected, with many economists forecasting the next reduction in August.
  • Inflation steady at 3.4% – Still well above the Bank’s 2% target, keeping policymakers cautious.
  • GDP fell by 0.3% in April – The biggest monthly dip since October 2023, driven by a slowdown in services and the impact of US trade tariffs.
  • Retail sales slide – May saw a sharp 2.7% fall in sales volumes, with supermarkets and household goods stores reporting weak trading.
  • Welfare U-turn adds fiscal pressure – A government concession on disability benefits could reduce future savings by £3bn, complicating the Autumn Budget.

Don’t miss out! Download the full report to stay ahead of the latest economic trends.

You can view previous editions of the Economic Review here.

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